Msosa SK, A Comparative Trend Analysis of Changes in Teacher.pdf (1.51 MB)
A Comparative trend analysis of changes in teacher rate of absenteeism in South Africa
journal contribution
posted on 2022-01-06, 11:43 authored by Steven Kayambazinthu MsosaThe aim of this research was to analyze the changes in the rate of teacher absenteeism
among South African provinces as a major in-class factor contributing to student performance and
effective learning. Time series analysis of exponential smoothing, moving average, and seasonal
autoregressive integrated moving average model (SARIMA) were applied to model and assess the
designed hypothesis as a major factor for educational advancement using different provincial data
input from the Department of Basic Education in South Africa. The performances of all the models
were analyzed using statistical indexes: Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error
(MAPE). The overall performance showed that the absence rate increased statistically significantly
from 2011 to 2017. Thus, this opinion was held by more than half of the general populace depending
on the province type. The findings of this research could assist the management of the basic education
department in general, and in schools in particular, to understand the problem of absenteeism and
thereby enabling the implementation of effective strategies that can be used to curb the practice.